Finished "The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail - But Some Don't" by Nate Silver. "Stop and smell the data." If this book were turned into a textbook for a statistics or forecasting course I would have loved that course. As it was, though, I'm not a huge math geek, and there were interesting points and dull points. Like baseball? Investing? Weather? Gambling? Chess? These things are covered pretty nicely, and it often boils down to Bayesian analysis.
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